Against a backdrop of injured dropouts, confusing surface switches, weird speed figures, unseasoned horses and shippers from the Middle East, the 135th Kentucky Derby will be run at Churchill Downs tomorrow.
A maximum field of 20 will jump from the starting gate with the morning line favorite, I Want Revenge, pegged at 3-1 and no less than 16 horses posted at double digits and beyond.
In a word, the perfect gambling vehicle to make a score -- if you're lucky.
In the absence of Quality Road and The Pamplemousse, felled by injury, the Derby market is dominated by four horses, none remotely alike: I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire.
The winner is almost certainly in that group. But after that, the sky's the limit.
PP | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Odds |
| 1 | West Side Bernie | Stewart Elliott | Kelly Breen | 30-1 |
| 2 | Musket Man | Eibar Coa | Derek Ryan | 20-1 |
| 3 | Mr. Hot Stuff | John Velazquez | Eoin Harty | 30-1 |
| 4 | Advice | Rene Douglas | Todd Pletcher | 30-1 |
| 5 | Hold Me Back | Kent Desormeaux | Bill Mott | 15-1 |
| 6 | Friesan Fire | Gabriel Saez | Larry Jones | 5-1 |
| 7 | Papa Clem | Rafael Bejarano | Gary Stute | 20-1 |
| 8 | Mine That Bird | Calvin Borel | Bennie Woolley | 50-1 |
| 9 | Join in the Dance | Chris DeCarlo | Todd Pletcher | 50-1 |
| 10 | Regal Ransom | Alan Garcia | Saeed bin Suroor | 30-1 |
| 11 | Chocolate Candy | Mike Smith | Jerry Hollendorfer | 20-1 |
| 12 | General Quarters | Julien Leparoux | Tom McCarthy | 20-1 |
| 13 | I Want Revenge | Joe Talamo | Jeff Mullins | 3-1 |
| 14 | Atomic Rain | Joe Bravo | Kelly Breen | 50-1 |
| 15 | Dunkirk | Edgar Prado | Todd Pletcher | 4-1 |
| 16 | Pioneerof the Nile | Garrett Gomez | Bob Baffert | 4-1 |
| 17 | Summer Bird | Chris Rosier | Tim Ice | 50-1 |
| 18 | Nowhere to Hide | Shaun Bridgmohan | Nick Zito | 50-1 |
| 19 | Desert Party | Ramon Dominguez | Saeed bin Suroor | 15-1 |
| 20 | Flying Private | Robby Albarado | D Wayne Lukas | 50-1 |
| Rank | Horse | Earnings |
| 1 | Regal Ransom | $1,250,000 |
| 2 | Pioneerof the Nile | $1,193,250 |
| 3 | Square Eddie | $804,981 |
| 4 | I Want Revenge | $774,000 |
| 5 | Papa Clem | $760,000 |
| 6 | Desert Party | $641,667 |
| 7 | Quality Road | $600,000 |
| 8 | General Quarters | $595,645 |
| 9 | Friesan Fire | $570,465 |
| 10 | Musket Man | $485,000 |
| 11 | Hold Me Back | $438,000 |
| 12 | West Side Bernie | $385,160 |
| 13 | Chocolate Candy | $370,000 |
| 14 | Win Willy | $230,000 |
| 15 | Advice | $206,845 |
| 16 | Dunkirk | $150,000 |
| 17 | Mine That Bird | $138,705 |
| 18 | Flying Private | $124,000 |
| 19 | Mr. Hot Stuff | $114,000 |
| 20 | Summer Bird | $100,000 |
| 21 | Join in the Dance | $90,000 |
| 22 | Take the Points | $85,000 |
| 23 | Atomic Rain | $77,500 |
| 24 | Just a Coincidence | $75,000 |
| 25 | Flat Out | $32,500 |
| 26 | Masala | $27,500 |
Hello Don,
ReplyDeleteInteresting blog you've got here. I've actually been looking for somethign like this as I am not good at keeping up with the news. You've got some great stuff here, a good deal which I didn't know. Do you plan on talking about the swine flu?
Thanks,
-Resounding Glass